Volatility crush occurs when there are high expectations for market moves, but things calm down after an event. This means you’re paying more for the anticipated action.
Once volatility normalizes, options can lose a lot of value quickly. It’s common to see losses of 30-50% overnight.
Timing is crucial. Buying options just before earnings typically means you’re facing inflated premiums that can vanish fast.
Options lose value fast when everyone expects big moves but nothing happens. It’s like insurance - you pay more when people think disaster’s coming, but if it doesn’t hit, that premium vanishes quick.
This kills your position even when you’re right about direction. Don’t buy options when IV is jacked up - sell them instead. When volatility gets pumped before events, I either sit out or find ways to profit from the crush.
Always check IV rank before you enter. Anything above the 50th percentile increases risk of a vol crush.
• Pre-earnings: IV runs 2-3x higher than normal
• Post-event: You may lose 60-80% overnight when vol collapses
• Gap between historical and implied vol indicates inflated premiums